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2024-12-13 11:58:59
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Guotai Junan expects Hong Kong stocks to fluctuate upward in an N-shaped pattern next year to explore domestic demand and improve investment opportunities. Chen Ximiao, chief analyst of Guotai Junan's overseas strategy, said that looking forward to 2025, the disturbance factors in the Hong Kong stock market from the external environment will continue, and the pace of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve under overseas inflation, policy restrictions in areas such as strong US dollar and tariffs, and game friction among big countries will continue. However, the domestic policy thinking is clear, economic expectations are expected to stabilize under the financial impetus, and the profitability of molecular enterprises will improve, and the industrial chain will be able to cope with it. She said that in 2025, the sensitivity of the Hong Kong stock market to external shocks is expected to decline, and more attention should be paid to returning to its own logic. For the trend of Hong Kong stocks in 2025, it is expected to be dominated by the upward pattern of N-shaped shocks, and there are many opportunities for flexibility during the stage. In 2025, we should still actively look for the structure, and focus on the barbell strategy to shift the weight of the two ends. We need to pay more attention to the configuration rhythm and pay attention to the repair opportunities of some domestic products.The Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council responded that the Spring Festival was included in the intangible cultural heritage of mankind. On the morning of December 11th, the Taiwan Affairs Office held a regular press conference. Reporter: "Spring Festival-the social practice of China people celebrating the traditional New Year" was recently listed in the UNESCO representative list of human intangible cultural heritage. Taiwan Province compatriots are happy and say that "this is the excellent Chinese traditional culture". What's your comment on this? Zhu Fenglian, spokesperson of the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council: The Spring Festival is the most important traditional festival of the Chinese nation, an important moment to bid farewell to the old and welcome the new, and a most important cultural symbol in the hearts of Chinese children. Compatriots on both sides of the strait belong to the Chinese nation, descendants of the Chinese people and China people, and deeply understand that the Spring Festival contains the value pursuit of peace, harmony and harmony of the Chinese nation and Chinese civilization. In another 50 days, we will welcome the Spring Festival in year of the snake, the lunar calendar. We sincerely wish people on both sides of the strait to celebrate the Spring Festival together and carry forward the colorful Spring Festival culture together.The Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council refutes Lai Qingde's fallacy of so-called transit to the United States. CGTN reporter from the Central Radio and Television General Station: Lai Qingde falsely claimed that "the biggest challenge at present is the threat of China" when he transited to Hawaii in the United States a few days ago. What's your comment on Taiwan Province's future development plan and threatened to "strengthen its national defense forces"? Zhu Fenglian, spokesperson of the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council, said: We resolutely oppose any form of official exchanges between the United States and Taiwan, and resolutely oppose the "transit" of Taiwan Province leaders to the United States under any name and for any reason. Lai Qingde's so-called "transit" is essentially "seeking independence by relying on foreign countries", trying to mislead international public opinion and people on the island by peddling its "Taiwan independence" proposition. At present, the biggest challenge in cross-strait relations is that the Democratic Progressive Party authorities stubbornly adhere to the "Taiwan independence" stance, link up with external forces to frequently provoke "independence" and tie Taiwan Province to the "Taiwan independence" chariot. We are telling the Democratic Progressive Party authorities to give up the illusion of "seeking independence by force" and "seeking independence by relying on foreign countries" at an early date and stop the "Taiwan independence" separatist activities. Only by returning to the "1992 Consensus" which embodies the one-China principle can cross-strait relations return to the correct track of peaceful development and the development future of Taiwan Province be effectively guaranteed.


In response to the Democratic Progressive Party authorities' deletion of the military academy curriculum on the island, the Taiwan Affairs Office spokeswoman Zhu Fenglian said: The Democratic Progressive Party authorities, out of the "Taiwan independence" nature, made great efforts to "de-China". Previously, they introduced the so-called "educational reform" policy and "Taiwan independence" curriculum, and this time they deleted the military academy curriculum on the island, so that military academy students could not see the history of the Anti-Japanese War and learn the wisdom of ancient China people. They tried to cut off the historical and cultural ties between the two sides of the Taiwan Straits in various ways, so as to deceive the people of Taiwan Province and deceive the young people of Taiwan Province into going to the battlefield for "Taiwan independence" and acting as cannon fodder for "Taiwan independence", which requires high vigilance. Facts have proved, and will continue to prove, that any "de-China" act can not separate the historical ties between the two sides of the strait and the blood ties between compatriots on both sides of the strait, let alone change the fact that Taiwan Province is a part of China. The perverse actions of the Democratic Progressive Party authorities are bound to be resolutely opposed by more and more Taiwan Province compatriots.In response to the US request for TSMC's advanced manufacturing process to be moved to the United States, Taiwan Affairs Office spokeswoman Zhu Fenglian said: TSMC has become a "warlords" for the Democratic Progressive Party authorities to please the United States. As the public opinion on the island has said, it is only a matter of time before the Democratic Progressive Party authorities are determined to "rely on the United States for independence" and TSMC becomes a "United States product". If the Democratic Progressive Party authorities are allowed to "sell Taiwan" without a bottom line, the advantages of related industries in Taiwan Province will be weakened, and the interests of enterprises and people on the island will be harmed. When the use value of Taiwan Province is drained, the "chess pieces" will become "abandoned children", and the enterprises and people on the island will see this more and more clearly. It should be pointed out that many Taiwan Province enterprises have developed rapidly by participating in cross-strait cooperation, which fully proves that the right way is for the two sides to work together to expand the Chinese national economy.Liu Yi, the former secretary-general of the Chinese Football Association, was sentenced to 11 years' imprisonment in the first instance. According to Xianning Intermediate People's Court, on the morning of December 11, the Intermediate People's Court of Xianning City, Hubei Province publicly pronounced the case of accepting bribes by Liu Yi, the former deputy head of the preparatory group for the change of the Chinese Football Association and the former secretary-general of the Chinese Football Association. The defendant Liu Yi was sentenced to 11 years' imprisonment for accepting bribes and fined RMB 3.6 million. The property obtained from bribery shall be recovered according to law and turned over to the state treasury, and the insufficient part shall continue to be recovered.


The Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council introduced the annual meeting of the 2024 Cross-Strait Entrepreneur Summit. Zhu Fenglian, a spokesperson for the Taiwan Affairs Office, said that the 2024 Cross-Strait Entrepreneur Summit was successfully held in Xiamen, Fujian from December 9 to 10. More than 700 business people from both sides of the Taiwan Strait attended the annual summit. Focusing on the theme of "Building a new era industrial chain across the Taiwan Strait to promote cross-strait economic integration and development", they conducted in-depth discussions on issues such as promoting cross-strait industrial Internet innovation, building Taiwanese enterprises to land in their first homes, and innovating cross-strait financial service systems. The exchange atmosphere was warm, which fully demonstrated the common aspiration of cross-strait industries to strengthen exchanges and cooperation. (Riyue Tan Tian)On December 10th, local time, US Secretary of State Blinken talked with Egyptian Foreign Minister Abdul Ati, Qatari Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Mohammed, UAE Foreign Minister Abdullah and Jordanian Foreign Minister Assafadi respectively, focusing on the situation in Syria. In addition, Blinken and other leaders also discussed the implementation of the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Lebanon.Will the air ticket price in the United States rise in November? Goldman Sachs and Bank of America have their own opinions. Due to the rising cost of housing, insurance and medical services, the core inflation rate in the United States has remained high. Second-hand car prices may rise due to the rebound of auction prices, but economists are still divided on whether the increase in air ticket prices will become a reality. Goldman Sachs predicts that air ticket prices will increase by 1% month-on-month, reflecting a strong potential pricing trend. Bank of America, on the other hand, said, "We expect the air ticket price to drop by 1% month-on-month, which will change the contribution rate of core inflation from +3 basis points to -1 basis point. Due to the decline in air ticket prices, the monthly core inflation rate will drop to 0.2%, but the volatility of this category is still very large. "

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